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Joined 3 years ago
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Cake day: June 9th, 2023

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  • No, it’s not that simple.

    Of course they can shoot down Western planes in a war. The question is how consistently and how many losses they would suffer in return. At the moment, everything looks like the Chinese air force is extremely poorly trained and, obviously, very inexperienced from top to bottom, which puts them at a significant disadvantage, even if we assumed - which I don’t think is likely - that their equipment is competitive with the West. There’s a reason they are trying to bribe experienced Western pilots to get some infusion of institutional knowledge.



  • Russia could still strike Germany with medium-range drones and missiles tomorrow, as part of an attack on NATO to test its resolve. Putin believes that NATO is weak, a house of cards that needs little more than a kick in its Eastern Flank and some strikes and/or provocations in its heartland (like Germany) for it to come down. This is very likely a mistaken assumption, but: An attack on NATO is believed to be highly likely within the next few years. Putin is preparing for a war against Europe, hoarding tanks and other equipment instead of sending them directly into Ukraine:

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c62v63gl8rvo

    The above article is from last year, but NATO members have been increasingly warning of an impeding attack, including just a few days ago:

    https://www.euractiv.com/news/russia-accused-of-planning-attacks-on-baltic-polish-infrastructure/

    While Poland is strong and more than willing to fight, Germany would have to help its Eastern ally, as well as the Baltics and Finland defend themselves against a Russian invasion, which is where, among other things, our tanks come into place. We can’t wait until Russian forces are at the German border, in case Poland falls. Defending Germany would necessitate defending our allies directly. We would also likely be at the receiving end of drone and ballistic missile strikes.












  • It is a Chinese firm. Why would one not include this in the title? Chinese investments in Europe are a contentious topic, not in small part because the country is notorious for exactly the kind of crimes against the environment as described in the article, as well as poor labor practices (including slavery), corruption (obviously a hot topic in Hungary right now), human rights abuses, IP theft, espionage, intimidation, etc.

    It is not xenophobic (or “sinophobic”) to report these things. Why are you carrying water for this awful regime?


  • There is a noticeable difference to America’s aggressiveness since Putin placed his Manchurian candidate in the White House. While the US has certainly acted in an imperialistic fashion in the recent past, it was nowhere near as blunt, callous and, for lack of a better word, “Russian-style”.

    America hegemony was built predominantly on the basis of soft power instead of occupying territory long-term. Coca Cola, Levi’s jeans and rock and roll, combined with skillful diplomacy, consistent foreign policy between Republican- and Democratic-led administrations and a backing of unparalleled hard power projection capabilities was a winning combination in the second half of the 20th century.

    Threatening to annex the territory of close allies in particular would have been unthinkable at any previous point in American history, even when they were fighting Colonial wars (e.g. in the Philippines) or during the most coke-fueled periods of the Cold War, when the CIA seemingly enjoyed a carte blanche, especially in Central and South America.